US targets expiring Iran arms embargo at risk of angering allies

Source: Stars and Stripes - View Original Article
Published: May 05, 2020
Category:
Bias Rating:

97% Liberal


Bias Score Calculation:


Policies:

European Union
Iran

Sentiments

96% "The European Union also has its own arms embargo on Iran.""
94% "Stop dreaming: Iranian Nation always decides its destiny.""
92% "A public dispute over the embargo and a proposed snapback also would highlight further the inability of the Security Council, meant to be the ..."
91% "If council members don't go along, he warned, we are well within our rights to snap back all U.N. sanctions.""
89% "Europeans are still in the mood of salvaging the deal, said Naysan Rafati, the International Crisis Group's Iran analyst.""
87% "We are operating under the assumption that we will be able to renew the arms embargo, Brian Hook, U.S. Special Representative for Iran, told ..."
80% "2 yrs ago, @SecPompeo and his boss declared 'CEASING U.S. participation' in JCPOA, dreaming that their 'max pressure' would bring Iran to its knees, ..."
76% "Russia repeatedly has indicated it will oppose an extension, and China isn't likely to go along with the U.S. proposal, either.""
70% "The council already has been hamstrung for weeks trying to pass a resolution about the coronavirus pandemic, as a feud between China and the ..."
69% "That's not an interpretation many countries agree with.""

We have listed the top 10 sentiments. More sentiments do exist. Please review the full article for more information.



*Our bias meter rating uses data science including sentiment analysis, machine learning and our proprietary algorithm for determining biases in news articles. The rating is an independent analysis and is not affiliated nor sponsored by the news source or any other organization

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Contributing sentiments towards policy:

96% : The European Union also has its own arms embargo on Iran.
94% : Stop dreaming: Iranian Nation always decides its destiny.
92% : A public dispute over the embargo and a proposed snapback also would highlight further the inability of the Security Council, meant to be the U.N.'s most powerful body, to reach agreement on almost any contentious issue.
91% : If council members don't go along, he warned, "we are well within our rights" to snap back all U.N. sanctions.
89% : "Europeans are still in the mood of salvaging the deal," said Naysan Rafati, the International Crisis Group's Iran analyst.
87% : "We are operating under the assumption that we will be able to renew the arms embargo," Brian Hook, U.S. Special Representative for Iran, told reporters last week.
80% : "2 yrs ago, @SecPompeo and his boss declared 'CEASING U.S. participation' in JCPOA, dreaming that their 'max pressure' would bring Iran to its knees," Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif tweeted.
76% : Russia repeatedly has indicated it will oppose an extension, and China isn't likely to go along with the U.S. proposal, either.
70% : The council already has been hamstrung for weeks trying to pass a resolution about the coronavirus pandemic, as a feud between China and the U.S. over the virus' origins has blocked progress.
69% : That's not an interpretation many countries agree with.
69% : Both have veto power on the Security Council.
67% : Allies and adversaries see U.S. officials as trying to have it both ways: stay out of the deal they disagree with except when they need some of its provisions to press allies to exit it, too.
63% : With the nuclear accord in limbo, Iran gradually has reduced its commitments to the deal, reducing the time it would take for Tehran to build a nuclear bomb to less than a year, according to a senior Western diplomat.
62% : The Trump administration is escalating tensions with allies as it seeks to renew a U.N. arms embargo on Iran that's set to expire this year, threatening to kill what's left of the nuclear agreement the U.S. quit two years ago if countries don't go along.
61% : While European officials have kept quiet publicly, Iran has lashed out at U.S. threats.
61% : That could let Iran modernize its forces by buying advanced weapons systems that it mostly has been unable to acquire for decades, including advanced fighter aircraft and main battle tanks, the Pentagon warned in November.
58% : The embargo's end theoretically would allow Iran to move ahead with purchases of conventional weapons from Russia and China.
54% : Israeli Ambassador Danny Danon said Security Council members should "take the U.S. threat seriously" when it comes to the arms embargo and the snapback proposal.
50% : The administration calculates that the deal's collapse would increase pressure for Iran, which has resumed building a stockpile of fissile material, to agree to a more wide-ranging accord that doesn't have "sunsets," or clauses that expire over time.
49% : The U.S. "can't force the vote on the Security Council, and they could face a veto, so what they can do is place a price tag, and that's what they're doing now," Danon said in a phone interview.
48% : Yet even if the embargo were to expire, plenty of obstacles remain for Iran to buy weapons.
46% : " Renewing the arms embargo won't be easy.
46% : "Given that policy's abject failure, he now wants to be JCPOA participant.
45% : With Iran already under a raft of U.S. sanctions that limit the ability of other nations to trade with it, the impact of a snapback would be largely symbolic.
45% : "The Europeans actually agree with the Americans on a lot when it comes to Iran, but they diverge on whether to try and keep the JCPOA alive as a basis for discussions."
38% : Officials including Secretary of State Michael Pompeo are warning that the U.S. could try to force a "snapback" of sanctions against Tehran by all United Nations Security Council members as part of the 2015 Iran nuclear accord if the arms embargo is allowed to expire in October.
36% : "Even if you could get Russians to agree, all you've done is gained a very short-term extension of the arms embargo. "
33% : Officials in Berlin, Paris and London say they recognize Washington's concerns over the embargo's expiration, but they argue that concern over conventional arms sales shouldn't sabotage efforts to keep the nuclear accord in place.
25% : Secondary U.S. sanctions, for instance, would make any country think twice before selling to Iran.
17% : But the political impact of effectively killing off the 2015 accord would be potent.
10% : While not wanting to feud publicly with the U.S., European diplomats speaking on condition that they not be identified say the U.S. forfeited any such right when President Donald Trump decided to end "U.S. participation" in the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, or JCPOA, which he calls the "worst deal ever.
3% : The issue is a top political priority for Trump, with the October expiration coming just weeks before presidential elections in the U.S. Hawkish advisers to the Trump administration think the U.S. shouldn't even waste time with a U.N. resolution, going straight to the snapback option instead. "It's useless to waste time trying to extend the arms embargo with a resolution that is likely to fail," said Richard Goldberg, a senior adviser at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, which has helped guide the Trump administration's Iran-sanctions policies.

*Our bias meter rating uses data science including sentiment analysis, machine learning and our proprietary algorithm for determining biases in news articles. The rating is an independent analysis and is not affiliated nor sponsored by the news source or any other organization

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