NATO punishment won't make Hungary's dictator change course

Source: The Hill - View Original Article
Published: Apr 30, 2020
Category:
Bias Rating:

53% Conservative


Bias Score Calculation:


Policies:

European Union
Iran

Sentiments

95% "And one of its founding members, Portugal, was a dictatorship until 1974.""
93% "NATO's founding treaty, to which Hungary is a signatory, notes the alliance is founded on the principles of democracy, individual liberty and the rule ..."
88% "This comes on top of emergency powers the parliament granted Orban in 2016 during the migrant crisis.""
77% "In each of these instances, geopolitical realities -- namely, the Cold War struggle against the Soviet Union -- trumped concerns over democratic values.""
72% "Some have argued that the time is right to kick Hungary out of key international organizations such as NATO.""
71% "As a result, some have called for Hungary to be kicked out of the European Union and NATO.""
69% "So far, U.S. policy toward Budapest appears to be driven by the perceived necessity of keeping Hungary on its side, relative to Russia and ..."
67% "It's possible that the EU now may toughen its line toward Budapest.""
65% "The EU already had begun to push back on Orban's moves to silence independent media, bring the courts to heel, and neuter civil society, ..."

We have listed the top 10 sentiments. More sentiments do exist. Please review the full article for more information.



*Our bias meter rating uses data science including sentiment analysis, machine learning and our proprietary algorithm for determining biases in news articles. The rating is an independent analysis and is not affiliated nor sponsored by the news source or any other organization

Extremely
Liberal

Very
Liberal

Moderate-left

Neutral

Moderate-right

Very
Conservative

Extremely
Conservative

100%

100%

Contributing sentiments towards policy:

95% : And one of its founding members, Portugal, was a dictatorship until 1974.
93% : NATO's founding treaty, to which Hungary is a signatory, notes the alliance is "founded on the principles of democracy, individual liberty and the rule of law."
88% : This comes on top of emergency powers the parliament granted Orban in 2016 during the migrant crisis.
77% : Today, the Hungarian constitutional court is theoretically a remaining check on Orban's power, but observers argue it's already stacked with his loyalists.
77% : In each of these instances, geopolitical realities -- namely, the Cold War struggle against the Soviet Union -- trumped concerns over democratic values.
72% : Some have argued that the time is right to kick Hungary out of key international organizations such as NATO.
71% : As a result, some have called for Hungary to be kicked out of the European Union and NATO.
69% : So far, U.S. policy toward Budapest appears to be driven by the perceived necessity of keeping Hungary on its side, relative to Russia and China.
67% : It's possible that the EU now may toughen its line toward Budapest.
65% : The EU already had begun to push back on Orban's moves to silence independent media, bring the courts to heel, and neuter civil society, but its efforts haven't succeeded -- yet -- in altering Hungary's trajectory.
64% : Countenancing a member state's flouting of these bedrock principles doesn't just ignore Hungarians' loss of their rights, it also undermines alliance unity in the face of rising geopolitical competition with authoritarian governance models embodied by China and Russia.
63% : Late last month, the Hungarian parliament approved a law that would permit Orban to rule by decree, bypassing the legislature, for an indeterminate amount of time.
62% : Like several authoritarians elsewhere, the leader of ostensibly democratic Hungary -- Prime Minister Viktor Orban -- is taking advantage of the COVID-19 crisis to consolidate power at the expense of democratic values.
62% : More tangibly, recently improved ties between Russian President Vladimir PutinVladimir Vladimirovich PutinThe Hill's Morning Report - Presented by Facebook - Trump urges reopening: 'Manhattan much different than Montana' Putin must stop exploiting coronavirus for geopolitical gain Trump, Putin issue joint commemorative statement, triggering concerns from government officials MORE and Orban's government present other serious problems.
53% : Acting now -- bilaterally -- is necessary to begin compelling Hungary to change course, set an example, and prevent Budapest from becoming a trojan horse for nefarious Russian operations.
49% : And if NATO ever needed to quickly move forces by land between the Eastern Mediterranean and the Baltics, it could transit Ukraine, which never has been friendlier toward the West, or Austria, which also has become closer to NATO.
48% : Bilateral steps such as these are necessary to prevent further damage to Western interests, and they're likely to be far more effective than efforts to kick Hungary out of the alliance.
47% : Meanwhile, though, NATO and its member states have done little, at least publicly.
47% : Hungary isn't a geopolitical lynchpin, however.
36% : But for several reasons, the transatlantic alliance isn't the right vehicle for punishing Budapest.
36% : Greece was led by a military dictatorship from 1967-74, and Turkey experienced military-led coups in 1960 and 1980.
36% : Instead of utilizing NATO, Washington and like-minded allies should turn up the heat on Budapest bilaterally.
34% : But this overestimates Hungary's importance and underestimates the price the West pays to ignore Budapest's backsliding.
34% : To be clear, there are good reasons for the alliance to consider downgrading relations with Hungary, placing it on probation of some kind, or otherwise penalizing Budapest.
33% : Instead, Washington and other like-minded allies ought to turn up the heat bilaterally.
33% : Second, NATO has a long history of turning a blind eye to democratic backsliding among its members.
33% : Some might add to this list Hungary's important geographic attributes, sitting in the center of Europe, bordering Ukraine, and forming a land bridge from allies in the south to those in the north.
32% : For the United States, this might take several forms such as cutting off foreign military financing, more aggressively supporting NGO efforts to uncover corruption, or placing restrictions on U.S. foreign direct investment in Hungary.
27% : It doesn't compare in this regard to any of the Baltic States, which sit at the epicenter of strategic competition in Europe, or to Turkey, with its long Black Sea coastline, its borders with Iran, Iraq and Syria, and its control of the Bosporus Strait.
24% : First, the NATO treaty has no provisions for sanctioning, punishing or expelling a member state.
22% : Clearly, Orban is intent on consolidating further what was already an impressive degree of authoritarianism in the heart of democratic Europe.
19% : Even if the alliance treaty had provisions for punishing or expelling a member state, it's very likely another member state would side with Hungary, frustrating consensus.
15% : Individual member states may decide to withdraw from the alliance, but neither NATO nor any other country can force them to do so.
11% : Poland and Turkey come to mind, given their own struggles with democratic backsliding in recent years -- and likely concern that they might be shown the exits next.
10% : The alliance's reluctance to do much over Hungary stems from several factors.
4% : At best, they weaken NATO's united front toward Russia over its actions in Ukraine; at worst, they represent a potentially grave security risk.

*Our bias meter rating uses data science including sentiment analysis, machine learning and our proprietary algorithm for determining biases in news articles. The rating is an independent analysis and is not affiliated nor sponsored by the news source or any other organization

Share via
Copy link
Powered by Social Snap