Kobach and Clay go down: Takeaways from a big primary night

Source: POLITICO - View Original Article
Published: Aug 05, 2020
Category:
Bias Rating:

55% Liberal


Bias Score Calculation:

This article includes the following sentiments, providing an average bias score of 55% Liberal:

  • 1 positive sentiment for Marijuana Legalization


Policies:

Marijuana Legalization

Sentiments

  •   Liberal
  •   Neutral
97% "In the past two years, four white men holding urban, majority-minority House seats have been felled by younger, more liberal candidates of color.""
83% "In 2014, when Ferguson police shot and killed Michael Brown, an unarmed Black man, both Bush and Clay became prominently involved.""
80% "Democratic meddling in the form of $5 million in TV ads that trashed Marshall and boosted Kobach.""
67% "Instead, Marshall and his allies told Kansas Republicans they couldn't afford to take another chance on Kobach, and they listened.""
60% "It's the latest victory for Medicaid expansion, which -- despite the near-uniform opposition among GOP politicians -- keeps passing.""
-52% "Five weeks after voters in bright-red Oklahoma approved an expansion of Medicaid, voters in neighboring Missouri -- another GOP bastion -- approved a ballot ..."
-60% "But Tuesday's results suggest that with or without a national leader like the young congresswoman from the Bronx, the energy on the left is ..."
-70% "While Clay pushed legislation in Congress that would revoke federal funding from police departments that don't require independent investigations into incidents involving officers, Bush ..."
-86% "After George Floyd's killing in Minneapolis in May, the issue took on new salience.""
-93% "The news only got worse when he joined Congress.""

We have listed the top 10 sentiments. More sentiments do exist. Please review the full article for more information.



*Our bias meter rating uses data science including sentiment analysis, machine learning and our proprietary algorithm for determining biases in news articles. The rating is an independent analysis and is not affiliated nor sponsored by the news source or any other organization

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Contributing sentiments towards policy:

97% : In the past two years, four white men holding urban, majority-minority House seats have been felled by younger, more liberal candidates of color.
96% : Bollier fits the mold of disaffected Kansas GOP voters -- especially in Johnson County, outside of Kansas City -- who have drifted from the party after the excesses of Trump, Kobach and former Gov. Sam Brownback.
94% : It's a sign that the recent protests over racial injustice and police brutality have altered Democratic politics -- especially this year, and especially in a district that includes the city of Ferguson.
83% : A controversial candidate in Kobach who won a seven-way gubernatorial primary two years earlier, only to blow it in the general election.
83% : In 2014, when Ferguson police shot and killed Michael Brown, an unarmed Black man, both Bush and Clay became prominently involved.
80% : In one of Kansas' key congressional districts, indicted Rep. Steve Watkins was looking like a juicy target for House Democrats -- but they won't get the chance to run against him after state Treasurer Jake LaTurner ousted the freshman in a primary, boosting Republican chances of keeping the seat.
80% : Democratic meddling in the form of $5 million in TV ads that trashed Marshall and boosted Kobach.
78% : There was a Federal Election Commission investigation into his father's alleged straw donations.
78% : Parson and state leaders scheduled the vote to coincide with Tuesday's downballot primaries rather than the November presidential elections, and Medicaid expansion proponents accused the governor of trying to depress support for the measure by holding the vote during a lower-turnout election.
67% : Instead, Marshall and his allies told Kansas Republicans they couldn't afford to take another chance on Kobach, and they listened.
66% : Here are five takeaways from Tuesday's primaries in Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, Missouri and Washington: All the ingredients were there for a GOP disaster.
66% : Even before Watkins narrowly defeated Democrat Paul Davis by 1 point to win his seat in 2018, some Republicans were plotting to defeat him in the 2020 primary.
64% : And President Donald Trump -- who aligns with Kobach on immigration and voting restrictions and endorsed him for governor the day before the 2018 primary -- was sitting on the sidelines when a simple tweet could have swung the primary.
63% : He only won about a third of the primary vote -- about 15 points behind LaTurner.
63% : On Monday morning, an analyst from the elections website Decision Desk HQ was the first person quoted in a New York Times column under the headline, "How the Media Could Get the Election Story Wrong."
62% : On Tuesday night, the site became a cautionary tale for November.
62% : Parson said it was necessary to vote sooner because of expected coronavirus impacts on the state budget.
61% : These weren't just symbolic victories for the GOP establishment but ones that fundamentally boosted their chances in November, including their chances of keeping the Senate in Republican hands after watching their grip on the chamber weaken for months.
61% : Meanwhile, Democrat Cori Bush's primary win over Rep. Lacy Clay in St. Louis signaled the battle between the Democratic establishment and liberal outsiders has reached a new level: one in which even popular, progressive Black leaders are not immune from challenge.
61% : Bush's victory came two years after Clay trounced her by 20 percentage points in a 2018 primary.
60% : There were questions about his personal life, along with some shady campaign finance tricks to push him across the finish line in November, including a super PAC funded by his father.
60% : LaTurner's victory was a two-fer for Republicans: Not only did he rid them of Watkins and likely give the party a stronger candidate to keep the Topeka-area seat in GOP hands, LaTurner was originally running for Senate, where he threatened to split the anti-Kobach vote even further before jumping into the House race.
60% : But the left hadn't taken down an old-guard incumbent of color until Tuesday in St. Louis.
60% : It's the latest victory for Medicaid expansion, which -- despite the near-uniform opposition among GOP politicians -- keeps passing.
59% : Democrats say they can still contest the race with state Sen. Barbara Bollier, who was until recently a Republican, as their candidate.
56% : About an hour after polls closed in Missouri, Decision Desk HQ actually called the Clay-Bush race for Clay, based on the incumbent's strength in the early votes cast in the district.
55% : Ballots in the November general election are not yet finalized in many states, but expect to see a number of measures going directly to voters, including increases in state minimum wages; election reforms like independent redistricting commissions, all-party primaries and ranked-choice voting; and marijuana legalization.
48% : Five weeks after voters in bright-red Oklahoma approved an expansion of Medicaid, voters in neighboring Missouri -- another GOP bastion -- approved a ballot measure that will provide health coverage to 230,000 of the state's poorest residents.
45% : According to POLITICO Pro Health Care, six Republican-leaning states have now passed Medicaid expansion at the ballot box, defying politicians like Missouri Gov. Mike Parson, who opposed Tuesday's measure.
43% : Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) about their 2018 campaigns.
43% : Joe Crowley (D-N.Y.) in June 2018
43% : But Tuesday's results showed why the pandemic-era campaign -- featuring more voting by mail, unusual new patterns in how absentee and in-person voters behave, and a vote count that could take weeks -- is going to be even more perilous and require even more caution from those watching and interpreting the results.
40% : But Tuesday's results suggest that with or without a national leader like the young congresswoman from the Bronx, the energy on the left is changing the makeup of the Democratic caucus.
39% : , she traveled to St. Louis to campaign with Bush.
39% : This time, Ocasio-Cortez, who serves on a House committee with Clay, didn't get involved.
38% : And three weeks before the primary, Watkins was charged with felony voter fraud for listing a UPS Store as his home address on his voter-registration form.
36% : Just weeks after Ocasio-Cortez ousted then-Rep.
36% : But within three hours, the site was forced to retract that call and instead proclaim Bush as the winner, after she won on the back of much stronger support from people who voted in person.
35% : But Bush also had a better campaign and more funding this year -- particularly after her appearance in a Netflix documentary alongside now-Rep.
34% : When the night ended, Marshall had 40 percent of the vote, easily turning aside Kobach and the rest of the field.
30% : While Clay pushed legislation in Congress that would revoke federal funding from police departments that don't require independent investigations into incidents involving officers, Bush became a leader of the protests.
29% : It all became too much for Watkins to overcome.
27% : According to private polling, Trump's numbers in Kansas have softened, and Republicans can't take the seat for granted even after Marshall's victory.
26% : Activists have increasingly adopted ballot measures as a way to overcome the opposition of politicians to popular initiatives.
24% : But it would undoubtedly have been a much bigger headache with Kobach as the nominee.
22% : The occasional error by an analyst or news organization "calling" an election is nothing new.
14% : Watkins won a seven-candidate primary two years ago with just 27 percent of the vote, a weak result that left him vulnerable to an intra-party challenge.
14% : After George Floyd's killing in Minneapolis in May, the issue took on new salience.
12% : There was a split, 11-candidate field with no dominant frontrunner.
7% : The news only got worse when he joined Congress.

*Our bias meter rating uses data science including sentiment analysis, machine learning and our proprietary algorithm for determining biases in news articles. The rating is an independent analysis and is not affiliated nor sponsored by the news source or any other organization

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